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chip ev MTT is important?

1 reply

aletp123Newbie1 posts
Posted Mar 1, 2026, 2:54 AM#1

Hi guys,

I'm a longtime regular on this forum. Last time I posted here was on pokerstrategy.it, not .com (.it does not exist enymore)... that was 11 years ago. Anyway, I'm back playing after a lifetime, and I'm doing something I've never done before because I had no bankroll... I'm playing MTT (yes, back then I was a kid who'd never worked and had no money, and I was crushing £0.50 sit n gos). Anyway, I had AI analyze my stats and it tells me I should be a MTT CRUSHER. I have a chip ev of +21 bb/100. Can you tell me if that's really the case or is AI just trying to keep me friends?

thank u guys!:f_drink:

hands: 12k (I know they're few, but is it something to take into consideration anyway?)

DeepRunMTTNewbie1 posts
Posted Jun 2, 2026, 9:04 PM#2

Hi,

ChipEV is certainly something to consider at in MTTs because it indicates how many chips you expect to win on average, regardless of short-term variance.

That said, I believe 12k hands remains a relatively small sample for tournaments. A ChipEV of +21 bb/100 appears very strong, but MTT variance can be enormous.

I would view it as a positive indicator rather than definitive proof that you are crushing.

If that figure holds across a much larger sample, it becomes far more significant.

Also, ChipEV is most valuable before ICM becomes a dominant concern. Deep runs and final-table choices aren’t fully captured by ChipEV alone.

Good luck at the tables!

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